TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK (COURTESY: NHC)

Written by on August 10, 2018

METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES, MBIA
TIME/DATE: FRIDAY, AUGUST 10, 2018 (8:00 AM)

FOR TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN, CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO
AREA OF SPECIAL INTEREST: 10 – 20 °N AND 45 – 65 °W

SYSTEM 1: AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WINDS COULD LIMIT THE CHANCE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE, 10%, OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE MET OFFICE CONTINUES TO MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS AREA OF DISTURBANCE.

SYSTEM 2: AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG THE LESSER ANTILLES SOUTH OF 19 NORTH, MOVING WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE PATTERN IS APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. ISOLATED MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NAUTICAL MILES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS.
ELSEWHERE…TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


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